Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Venados — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
4-2
HT 4-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 3.00 for Venados.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 37%, draw 27%, Venados 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) went the other way.