CA La Paz 4-4 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Jan 2025

CA La Paz
4-4 HT 2-1
Tlaxcala
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
2.02/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.17
+37% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
17.02.2024 Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
05.04.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
10.08.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Tlaxcala couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CA La Paz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for CA La Paz and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz 4-4 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 38%, draw 33%, Tlaxcala 28%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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