Tlaxcala 0-2 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Jul 2024

Tlaxcala
0-2 HT 0-2
CA La Paz
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.8
Over 2.5
60%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
48%
+11.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.32
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-1D-2L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
05.04.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
10.08.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz saw off Tlaxcala 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; CA La Paz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.50 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Tlaxcala 0-2 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 33%, draw 27%, CA La Paz 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA La Paz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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