Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.39/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.18
+36% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
24.03.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
16.08.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
11.01.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
22.09.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
10.03.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
30.09.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-4 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas edged past Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 2.33 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 59%, draw 20%, Dorados De Sinaloa 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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