CDS Tampico Madero 1-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
32%
-7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero and Monarcas Morelia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CDS Tampico Madero at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Monarcas Morelia?

CDS Tampico Madero 1-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 42%, draw 32%, Monarcas Morelia 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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