Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.63/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/3.05
+14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
05.04.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
19.10.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
21.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 0-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
23.03.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
20.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 1-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
25.03.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-2 HT 1-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1-1
AWAY CA La Paz
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and CA La Paz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had 53% of the ball to CA La Paz's 47%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.17 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 39%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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