Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
33%
+14.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.48/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
+15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
236 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
19.10.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
21.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 0-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
23.03.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
20.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 1-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
25.03.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-2 HT 1-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
30.09.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and CA La Paz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.17 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 48%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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