Sotra SK 1-0 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
33%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
62%
+4.8pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.4pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-1.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.78
+1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
19.04.2025 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
14.09.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 4-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
20.04.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 1-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
13.08.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 5-2 HT 3-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
11.06.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
06.11.2021 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK nicked a narrow win over Vard Haugesund 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sotra SK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sotra SK and 0.83 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund?

Sotra SK 1-0 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 67%, draw 17%, Vard Haugesund 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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