Shinnik vs Fakel — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Shinnik
0-1 HT 0-0
Fakel
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.84
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fakel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.05.2021 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-2 Fakel Fakel RUS1
07.11.2020 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
19.10.2019 Fakel Fakel 0-4 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-1
AWAY Fakel
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Shinnik vs Fakel
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fakel edged past Shinnik 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 11 Oct 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, Shinnik had 49% of the ball to Fakel's 51%, shots finished 4-11.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fakel lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shinnik and 1.33 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Fakel?

Shinnik 0-1 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 26%, draw 35%, Fakel 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
11 Oct 2025
14:30 Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow Analysis →
14:50 Sokol Saratov vs FK Ufa Analysis →
15:00 Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ Analysis →
16:00 Volga Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
17:00 Neftekhimik vs Chayka Analysis →
19:00 FK Rodina Moskva vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →