Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS1
1-3
HT 0-1
Torpedo Moscow
RUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS
Arsenal Tula and Torpedo Moscow shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Russia - FNL on 11 Oct 2025. Half-time: 1-1.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.
On the day, Arsenal Tula had 63% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 37%, shots finished 12-7.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.33 for Torpedo Moscow.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Arsenal Tula 2-2 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 39%, draw 32%, Torpedo Moscow 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.