Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS1
1-3
HT 0-1
Torpedo Moscow
RUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS
Torpedo Moscow edged past Arsenal Tula 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 30 Mar 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 36%.
On the day, Arsenal Tula had 53% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 47%, shots finished 9-9.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.40 for Torpedo Moscow.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Arsenal Tula 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 30%, draw 38%, Torpedo Moscow 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.