Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-0
HT 0-0
Neftekhimik
RUS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Chayka
RUS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Neftekhimik
RUS1
Chayka edged past Neftekhimik 3-2 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 11 Oct 2025. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Neftekhimik had 52% of the ball to Chayka's 48%, shots finished 12-9.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.40 for Chayka.
What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Chayka?
Neftekhimik 2-3 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Chayka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 51%, draw 28%, Chayka 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.