Neftekhimik 2-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.06/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chayka
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Chayka Chayka 4-0 HT 2-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
15.05.2021 Chayka Chayka 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
01.08.2020 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
05.10.2019 Chayka Chayka 0-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
2-1
AWAY Chayka
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Neftekhimik vs Chayka
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Neftekhimik edged past Chayka 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 5 Apr 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 62% of the ball to Chayka's 38%, shots finished 19-6.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chayka lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.50 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Chayka?

Neftekhimik 2-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 39%, draw 29%, Chayka 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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