Ural 2-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2025

Ural
2-1 HT 1-0
KAMAZ
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.55/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.17
+2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.09.2024 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-2 HT 0-2 Ural Ural RUS1
27.10.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY KAMAZ
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ural vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past KAMAZ 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 51% of the ball to KAMAZ's 49%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ural and 0.50 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Ural vs KAMAZ?

Ural 2-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ural 55%, draw 26%, KAMAZ 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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