Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.98
-51% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
04.05.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.11.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-3 HT 2-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
22.04.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
01.10.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-1 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
11.04.2021 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1-2
AWAY Shinnik
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Shinnik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 60% of the ball to Shinnik's 40%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 28%, draw 33%, Shinnik 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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