Tyumen 1-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.58
-43% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.08.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-2 HT 1-2 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-1
AWAY FK Ufa
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen and FK Ufa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Tyumen had 60% of the ball to FK Ufa's 40%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs FK Ufa?

Tyumen 1-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 35%, draw 35%, FK Ufa 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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