KAMAZ 0-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Sep 2024

KAMAZ
0-2 HT 0-2
Ural
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.32
+2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ural
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.10.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
0-2
AWAY Ural
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural beat KAMAZ 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KAMAZ had 45% of the ball to Ural's 55%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Ural?

KAMAZ 0-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 25%, draw 31%, Ural 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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