Shinnik 1-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.22/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
28.10.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
15.05.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
02.08.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
05.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
22.08.2018 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik and Torpedo Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Shinnik had 39% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 61%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shinnik and 1.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Torpedo Moscow?

Shinnik 1-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 27%, draw 29%, Torpedo Moscow 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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