Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.18/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-12% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shinnik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
15.05.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
02.08.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
05.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
22.08.2018 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUK
25.11.2006 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Shinnik
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow and Shinnik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 60% of the ball to Shinnik's 40%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.67 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik?

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 38%, draw 31%, Shinnik 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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