Neftekhimik 1-2 FK Leningradets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Leningradets EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.97/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.65
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Leningradets
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 FK Leningradets 1-2 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-2
AWAY FK Leningradets
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs FK Leningradets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Leningradets nicked a narrow win over Neftekhimik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; FK Leningradets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 48% of the ball to FK Leningradets's 52%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs FK Leningradets?

Neftekhimik 1-2 FK Leningradets in the Russia - FNL on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs FK Leningradets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 36%, draw 29%, FK Leningradets 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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