Arsenal Tula 1-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +29%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.03
+35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Akron
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2023 Akron Akron 5-1 HT 3-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
20.11.2022 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
30.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 0-1 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY Akron
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Akron 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 42% of the ball to Akron's 58%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Akron led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal Tula and 2.00 for Akron.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Akron?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 41%, draw 31%, Akron 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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