Sokol Saratov 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
-17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 HT 0-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
25.10.2015 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-0 HT 2-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
10.05.2015 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
19.10.2014 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Volgar Astrakhan
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Volgar Astrakhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov squeezed past Volgar Astrakhan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Sokol Saratov made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 46% of the ball to Volgar Astrakhan's 54%, shots finished 3-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sokol Saratov had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sokol Saratov and 1.00 for Volgar Astrakhan.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan in the Russia - FNL on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Volgar Astrakhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 37%, draw 25%, Volgar Astrakhan 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
20 May 2024
12:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Analysis →
17:00 Tyumen vs KAMAZ Analysis →
17:45 Arsenal Tula vs Akron Analysis →
18:00 Kuban Krasnodar vs Khimki Analysis →
18:00 Neftekhimik vs FK Leningradets Analysis →
19:30 Torpedo Moscow vs Shinnik Analysis →