Kuban Krasnodar 0-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 72%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Khimki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 1-1 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
12.09.2009 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
03.05.2009 Khimki Khimki 2-2 HT 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS
14.07.2007 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
0-1
AWAY Khimki
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kuban Krasnodar vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki edged past Kuban Krasnodar 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kuban Krasnodar had 52% of the ball to Khimki's 48%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kuban Krasnodar had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kuban Krasnodar and 1.25 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Kuban Krasnodar vs Khimki?

Kuban Krasnodar 0-1 Khimki in the Russia - FNL on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuban Krasnodar vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kuban Krasnodar 19%, draw 25%, Khimki 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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