Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.52/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.96
+17% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 0-5 HT 0-3 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
08.08.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
15.10.2015 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and Arsenal Tula played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 44% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.33 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Arsenal Tula?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 46%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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