Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.18
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
17.08.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
18.02.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
02.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
15.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Racing Club Montevideo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 59% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 41%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.67 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%, draw 23%, Racing Club Montevideo 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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