Cerro Largo 2-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.18/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.94
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston River
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
03.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.05.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
2-2
AWAY Boston River
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Boston River couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 45% of the ball to Boston River's 55%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Cerro Largo 2-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 39%, draw 30%, Boston River 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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