Plaza Colonia vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plaza Colonia v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Plaza Colonia vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 0-2
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Plaza Colonia 0-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past Plaza Colonia 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Plaza Colonia had 57% of the ball to Progreso's 43%, shots finished 9-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Progreso?
Plaza Colonia 0-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 39%, draw 26%, Progreso 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Plaza Colonia) went the other way.