Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.03
+29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.05.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
05.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 58% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 42%, shots finished 9-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston River and 1.33 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boston River 42%, draw 28%, Cerro Largo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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