Nacional de Football vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Danubio
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-0
HT 2-0
Danubio
URU
Nacional de Football 2-0 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football saw off Danubio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 67% of the ball to Danubio's 33%, shots finished 27-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Nacional de Football 2-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 56%, draw 26%, Danubio 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.