CA Penarol 4-2 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.41/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.74
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
4-2
AWAY Miramar Misiones
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Miramar Misiones 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 53% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 47%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones?

CA Penarol 4-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 56%, draw 22%, Miramar Misiones 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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