Miramar Misiones 1-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
45%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+13.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.1pp
45%
Away Win
66%
-21.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 70%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.03/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.77
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-2
AWAY CA Penarol
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol edged past Miramar Misiones 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 36% of the ball to CA Penarol's 64%, shots finished 14-18.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol?

Miramar Misiones 1-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 26%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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