Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.16/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.04
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
23.02.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
19.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
02.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
08.05.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-1
AWAY CA River Plate
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate edged past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; CA River Plate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 54% of the ball to CA River Plate's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.33 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs CA River Plate?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 34%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
8 Sep 2024
00:00 Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol Analysis →
16:00 Rampla Juniors vs Progreso Analysis →
18:30 Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro Largo Analysis →
21:00 Danubio vs Boston River Analysis →