CA River Plate 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.05/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.61
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
19.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
02.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
08.05.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
25.09.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate and Deportivo Maldonado shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, CA River Plate had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 41%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado?

CA River Plate 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 37%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maldonado 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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