Miramar Misiones 1-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.63
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
01.10.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
15.08.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 4-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
20.04.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-0
AWAY Cerro
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones squeezed past Cerro 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 45% of the ball to Cerro's 55%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.50 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Miramar Misiones 1-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 30%, draw 29%, Cerro 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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