Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.17/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.11
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
07.10.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
08.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
25.02.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
11.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
03.04.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 2-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Centro Atletico Fenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 57% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 43%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.67 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro Largo?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 39%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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