Rampla Juniors 2-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.75/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.44
-37% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2024 Progreso Progreso 4-2 HT 2-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
24.06.2023 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
16.04.2023 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 2-2 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU2
20.08.2022 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
15.09.2019 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 2-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
2-0
AWAY Progreso
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors got the better of Progreso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rampla Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 54% of the ball to Progreso's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Rampla Juniors and 1.80 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Progreso?

Rampla Juniors 2-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 35%, draw 28%, Progreso 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progreso) ✓ Under 2.5
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