Charlotte Independence 3-2 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
51%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.53/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.66
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.4 Crosses 9.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 2.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
261 Passes 390
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2025 Alta Alta 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
3-2
AWAY Alta
1.07 xG 0.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
287 Passes 479
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
39 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Alta 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 40% of the ball to Alta's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Alta?

Charlotte Independence 3-2 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 58%, draw 23%, Alta 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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