One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
One Knoxville v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
One Knoxville 3-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville beat Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, One Knoxville had 58% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 42%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.67 — on chances, Portland Hearts of Pine could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 0.50 for Portland Hearts of Pine.
What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
One Knoxville 3-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 44%, draw 31%, Portland Hearts of Pine 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.