Detroit City 0-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.59
-25% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.9 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Loudoun United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-2 HT 2-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
05.05.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
23.03.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 2-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
08.10.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-3 HT 0-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
13.07.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
02.10.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-4 HT 0-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
0-1
AWAY Loudoun United
0.16 xG 1.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
260 Passes 318
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United nicked a narrow win over Detroit City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Detroit City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Detroit City had 48% of the ball to Loudoun United's 52%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.16 to 1.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Loudoun United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Detroit City and 0.83 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Loudoun United?

Detroit City 0-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 41%, draw 28%, Loudoun United 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
11 Oct 2025
02:00 North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →