North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
North Carolina 0-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising saw off North Carolina 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Phoenix Rising made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, North Carolina had 58% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 42%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.51 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for North Carolina and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?
North Carolina 0-2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 36%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.