Phoenix Rising 0-0 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.78/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.89
+48% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.1 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
1W-0D-0L
AWAY North Carolina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
572 Passes 541
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 5
09.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 1-2 HT 0-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
0-0
AWAY North Carolina
0.86 xG 1.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
460 Passes 239
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising and North Carolina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 63% of the ball to North Carolina's 37%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.86 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs North Carolina?

Phoenix Rising 0-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 42%, draw 26%, North Carolina 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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