Detroit City 2-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Mar 2024

Detroit City
2-1 HT 0-1
Loudoun United
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Detroit City vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 32% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Detroit City v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.16/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.00
-44% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.5 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Detroit City vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Loudoun United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.59 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-3 HT 0-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
13.07.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
02.10.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-4 HT 0-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
15.05.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 4-2 HT 3-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP

Detroit City 2-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
2-1
AWAY Loudoun United
1.38 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City edged past Loudoun United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Detroit City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Detroit City had 57% of the ball to Loudoun United's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.38 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Detroit City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Detroit City and 0.75 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Loudoun United?

Detroit City 2-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 42%, draw 28%, Loudoun United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Detroit City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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