CA Sarmiento 0-2 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.55
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
13%
7.48
X/2
17%
4.09
X/X
12%
3.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.81
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.10
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.8 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 1.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
194 Passes 474
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
27.08.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
03.07.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
12.10.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.11.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.03.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-2
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.16 xG 1.90
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
204 Passes 477
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors got the better of CA Sarmiento 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 34% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 66%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.17 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Boca Juniors?

CA Sarmiento 0-2 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 32%, draw 27%, Boca Juniors 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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