Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.58
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.57
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 66%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.97/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.93
-3% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.0 Crosses 7.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
143 Passes 342
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 26
31 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-2 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-1
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.14 xG 1.89
31% Ball Possession 69%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
111 Passes 387
50% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 31% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 69%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.14 to 1.89.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?

Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 25%, draw 21%, Velez Sarsfield 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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