CD Tapatio 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Nov 2024

CD Tapatio
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
1%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

CD Tapatio v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CD Tapatio The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 27%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
01.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.03.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-4 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
25.09.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.09.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
REVIEW CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CD Tapatio and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A gentle 49% lean on CD Tapatio didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.33 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Result & Final Score

CD Tapatio 1 - 1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CD Tapatio vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 49%, draw 30%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Tapatio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →