Defensor Sporting 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 0-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
05.05.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
19.08.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.02.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-3 HT 0-2 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.09.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-0
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting edged past Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 54% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 46%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.00 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Defensor Sporting 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 29%, Centro Atletico Fenix 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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