Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.01/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.88
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
19.08.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.02.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-3 HT 0-2 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.09.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
15.02.2021 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting edged past Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 48% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 52%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 26%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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