Montevideo Wanderers 4-2 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
1.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.14
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Progreso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
15.11.2021 Progreso Progreso 3-1 HT 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
31.07.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
22.03.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
20.09.2020 Progreso Progreso 3-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.10.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
4-2
AWAY Progreso
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers beat Progreso 4-2 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14 Jul 2024. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 48% of the ball to Progreso's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Montevideo Wanderers 4-2 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 39%, draw 27%, Progreso 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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