Colorado Springs 2-1 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
1.68/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
+11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.3 Crosses 13.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Orange County SC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
385 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
16.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-2 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.08.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
2-1
AWAY Orange County SC
1.79 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
498 Passes 449
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs nicked a narrow win over Orange County SC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 52% of the ball to Orange County SC's 48%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.79 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Colorado Springs 2-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 56%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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