Morpeth Town 3-0 Stocksbridge Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksbridge Park EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.61/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.02
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
3-0
AWAY Stocksbridge Park
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Stocksbridge Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town ran out comfortable winners over Stocksbridge Park 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Morpeth Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 54% of the ball to Stocksbridge Park's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Stocksbridge Park?

Morpeth Town 3-0 Stocksbridge Park in the England - Non League Premier on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Stocksbridge Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 42%, draw 25%, Stocksbridge Park 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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